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Reassessment: Origin OUSD (1.85 → 2.05) - #434

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@spalen0 spalen0 commented Aug 31, 2026 •

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Closes #433.

Reassessment of reports/report/origin-ousd.md at block 25876180 (Aug 31, 2026). Score moves 1.85 → 2.05 (still LOW RISK).

What changed on-chain

June 25, 2026 Aug 31, 2026
Vault totalValue() $7.43M $6.24M (−16%)
Morpho V2 (Ethereum) ~45% 47.6%
Curve AMO ~14% 16.3%
Cross-chain (Base) ~28% 19.4%
Cross-chain (HyperEVM) ~13% 16.7%
Outstanding withdrawal queue reported ~$1.68M 14 USDC

DeFiLlama-tracked TVL fell from ~$7.31M (mid-June) to ~$5.69M — a ~22% quarterly drawdown with no cliff.

Material findings

1. ~54% of TVL is credit exposure to Origin's own LSTs. The Ethereum Morpho leg is ~100% in the OETH/USDC market (86% LLTV, $2.97M) and ~35% of the Base leg is in the superOETHb/USDC market (77% LLTV, $421K). Both oracles resolve to Chainlink ETH/USD ÷ USDC/USD with no OETH/ETH or superOETHb/ETH feed — they hard-assume a 1:1 ETH peg, so a depeg produces bad debt rather than liquidations. Borrowers are third parties (38 Borrow events from 15 distinct accounts over ~275K blocks), so this is collateral-quality exposure, not a self-loan.

2. The Morpho legs are three vault layers deep, on three chains — and the curation is Yearn's own. Strategy → Morpho Vault V2 → MorphoVaultV1Adapter → MetaMorpho → Morpho Blue, replicated on Ethereum, Base, and HyperEVM. ~80% of OUSD's TVL ends up in Morpho Blue markets. Every one of the six vaults is curated by Yearn:

  • Ethereum: OUSD-V2 / OUSD-V1 owned by Yearn Security (0xe5e2…89c0, 4-of-7); OUSD-V1 curated by 0x90D0…6B51 (2-of-3), guardian set, 3-day timelock.
  • Base: OUSDb-V2 / OUSDb-V1 owned by 0xFEaE…E36F (4-of-8, signer set overlaps Yearn Security), same curator Safe, guardian set, 3-day timelock.
  • HyperEVM: both vaults deployed by 0xFc5F…C12B, which called createMetaMorpho / createVaultV2 and set feeRecipient() to the same Yearn curator Safe.

So this is scored as internal concentration, not a third-party dependency. The HyperEVM leg is nonetheless configured more loosely than the other two — EOA key rather than a Safe, curator() and guardian() unset, timelock() = 0, so cap and supply-queue changes are immediate rather than 3-day. Recorded as a factual note plus a monitoring item, not as a key risk. Mitigating: OUSDh-V2 has permanently abdicated setReceiveAssetsGate and setAdapterRegistry, so withdrawals can never be gated.

3. Liquidity is thinner than headline TVL. Only ~$1.59M of the $2.97M Ethereum Morpho position is withdrawable (84.6% utilization); the Base superOETHb market is 88.2% utilized with ~$50K free against a ~$421K position; the Curve pool's USDC side is ~$505K and 92.5% of that pool's LP is Origin's own AMO. Instantly reachable on Ethereum: ~$2.1M (~34% of TVL).

Two corrections to the June report

  • The withdrawal queue was never backed up. withdrawalQueueMetadata() returns lifetime cumulative counters; queued and claimable are running totals, not a live depth. June's "$1.68M queued ≈ 22.7% of supply" was the lifetime total. Actual pending demand is queued − claimed — 17,205 USDC then, 14 USDC now. The report and the Monitoring section now say this explicitly so the misread isn't repeated.
  • The vault has no oracle and no rebaseThreshold. The deployed implementation's price-provider slot is _deprecated_priceProvider and neither VaultCore nor VaultAdmin reads a feed. Rebase is not auto-triggered on user operations either: rebase() is restricted to operator / strategist / governor, and yield drips over dripDuration (7d) capped at rebasePerSecondMax (≈7.87% APR) and 2% per rebase.

Bug bounty — reconfirmed live

Checked against the live Immunefi program page: $1,000,000 max for critical smart-contract reports, capped at 10% of economic damage with a $50,000 floor; High flat $15,000; Safe Harbor enabled; PoC required, no KYC; payouts made by Origin in OUSD. Live since Nov 22 2021, program last updated Aug 4 2026. Corrected the asset count (34 → 28) and added the payout track record: 40 paid reports totalling $139.2K, median resolution 7 hours.

Unchanged

Timelock 48h and self-administered; PROPOSER/EXECUTOR/CANCELLER on Origin DeFi Governance, CANCELLER also on the 5-of-8 GOV multisig; strategist 2-of-8; trustee 1-of-3; trusteeFeeBps 2000; vaultBuffer 0; maxSupplyDiff 5%; withdrawalClaimDelay 600s; both proxies on the same implementations; Curve AMO still the only mint-whitelisted strategy; vault unpaused. No timelock execution since June targeted the OUSD vault or token. No new OUSD audit since Sigma Prime (Feb 2026) — whose scope did cover the vault upgrade and the cross-chain CCTP strategies.

Scoring

Category Was Now Why
Audits & Historical 1.5 1.5 —
Centralization & Control 2.0 2.17 Dependencies 2.5 → 3.0: ~80% of TVL now routes through Morpho Blue via six vaults on three chains, plus the OETH collateral concentration. Not raised further, since the curation layer is Yearn's own
Funds Management 1.75 2.25 Collateralization 2.0 → 2.5 (backing is lending claims against mixed collateral, not held USDC); Provability 1.5 → 2.0 (cross-chain balances are a CCTP-pushed cache accepted up to 1 day stale)
Liquidity Risk 2.5 2.5 Empty queue offsets the market-utilization constraints
Operational Risk 1.0 1.0 —
Final 1.85 2.05 LOW RISK (1.5–2.5)

Also updated

  • reports/graph/origin-ousd.yaml — expanded to the full three-chain Morpho stack, added the operator EOA and the three curation authorities, dropped the deprecated Oracle Router node, refreshed allocation labels. The two MetaMorpho vaults are tagged morphoVault: v1 so scripts/update_morpho_graph_markets.mjs expands their markets; HyperEVM markets are authored by hand since the generator only supports Ethereum and Base.
  • src/data/bridges.json — CCTP detail updated to ~36% of TVL and the message-bus role.

Validation

npm run build — 108 pages, 0 errors. check_graphs reports only the pre-existing shared-address warning between origin-arm and origin-ousd on the trustee Safe. node scripts/update_morpho_graph_markets.mjs --graph origin-ousd is clean.

🤖 Generated with Claude Code

Refresh at block 25876180 (Aug 31, 2026). TVL $6.24M, down ~16% since the
June assessment.

Material findings:
- ~54% of TVL is USDC lent against Origin's own OETH / superOETHb in Morpho
  markets whose oracles read Chainlink ETH/USD with no LST-specific feed.
- The HyperEVM leg (~16.7% of TVL) sits in a MetaMorpho v1.1 vault whose
  owner is a single EOA, with curator() and guardian() unset and timelock()
  = 0 — an un-timelocked single-key path to $1.04M.
- The Morpho legs are three vault layers deep on each of three chains; the
  Ethereum and Base stacks are curated by Yearn's Security multisig and a
  2-of-3 curator Safe with 3-day timelocks.
- The June report read withdrawalQueueMetadata() cumulative counters as a
  live backlog; actual outstanding demand is queued − claimed = 14 USDC.
- The vault no longer uses an oracle (_deprecated_priceProvider) and has no
  rebaseThreshold; rebase is permissioned and rate-capped.

Governance, roles, multisig thresholds, proxy implementations, and the mint
whitelist are unchanged.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
The Morpho curation layer under all three OUSD legs is Yearn's own, so it is
not a third-party trust assumption for a Yearn allocation decision:

- Ethereum: OUSD-V2 / OUSD-V1 owned by Yearn Security (4-of-7), curator Safe
  0x90D0…6B51 (2-of-3), guardian set, 3-day timelock.
- Base: OUSDb-V2 / OUSDb-V1 owned by 0xFEaE…E36F (4-of-8, signer set overlaps
  Yearn Security), same curator Safe, guardian set, 3-day timelock.
- HyperEVM: both vaults deployed by 0xFc5F…C12B, which called createMetaMorpho
  and createVaultV2 and set feeRecipient() to the same Yearn curator Safe.

The HyperEVM leg keeps a factual note and a monitoring item — EOA key, no
guardian, timelock() = 0 — but is no longer scored as an external dependency
or listed as a key risk. Also recorded that OUSDh-V2 has permanently abdicated
setReceiveAssetsGate and setAdapterRegistry, so withdrawals cannot be gated.

Bug bounty reconfirmed against the live Immunefi page: $1M max critical, 10%
of economic damage, $50K floor, Safe Harbor, last updated Aug 4 2026. Asset
count corrected 34 → 28; added payout track record (40 reports, $139.2K).

Dependencies 3.5 → 3.0, Collateralization 3.0 → 2.5; final 2.17 → 2.05.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
@spalen0 spalen0 changed the title Reassessment: Origin OUSD (1.85 → 2.17) Reassessment: Origin OUSD (1.85 → 2.05) Aug 31, 2026
| Contract | Address | Role / Key facts |
|----------|---------|------------------|
| Cross-Chain Remote Strategy | [`0xE0228DB13F8C4Eb00fD1e08e076b09eF5cD0EA1e`](https://hyperevmscan.io/address/0xE0228DB13F8C4Eb00fD1e08e076b09eF5cD0EA1e) | Same address as the mainnet master; `governor()` = [`0x7712…1364`](https://hyperevmscan.io/address/0x77121911A387c9e4Eae46345E0f831A6da8a1364) |
| OUSD Vault V2 (Morpho Vault V2) | [`0xE90959cbE7E56b5eBFF9AD12de611A4976F2d2B1`](https://hyperevmscan.io/address/0xE90959cbE7E56b5eBFF9AD12de611A4976F2d2B1) | `OUSDh-V2`; owner = curator = Yearn deployer key [`0xFc5F…C12B`](https://hyperevmscan.io/address/0xFc5F89d29CCaa86e5410a7ad9D9d280d4455C12B); `setReceiveAssetsGate` and `setAdapterRegistry` permanently abdicated |

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These role assertions are incorrect at the stated snapshot. OUSDh-V2 and OUSDh-V1 owner() = 0x518C…70149, a 4-of-7 Safe with the same signer set as Yearn Security; both vaults’ curator() = 0x90D0…6B51; OUSDh-V1 guardian() = 0x4FF1…971 and timelock() = 259,200 seconds. Please correct the control model and remove the EOA/zero-timelock assertions.

#### Category 2: Centralization & Control Risks (Weight: 30%) — **2.0**
#### Category 2: Centralization & Control Risks (Weight: 30%) — **2.17**

**Subcategory A: Governance — 1.0**

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The 1.0 governance score is not consistent with the rubric: score 1 requires a 7+ day timelock and no EOA roles. Here getMinDelay() is 48h, an EOA operates rebase/balance updates, and the 2-of-8 strategist has broad untimelocked powers. Please score this subcategory at 3.0, or document why the rubric is being applied differently.

3. **Morpho curation — Yearn (not an external counterparty)** — every OUSD Morpho vault on all three chains is curated by Yearn:
- **Ethereum:** `OUSD-V2` and `OUSD-V1` are owned by the **Yearn Security multisig** ([`0xe5e2Baf9…89c0`](https://etherscan.io/address/0xe5e2Baf96198c56380dDD5E992D7d1ADa0e989c0), 4-of-7); `OUSD-V1` is curated by [`0x90D0…6B51`](https://etherscan.io/address/0x90D0f26025571295D18a6c041E47450B81886B51) (2-of-3) with a guardian and a 3-day timelock.
- **Base:** `OUSDb-V2` / `OUSDb-V1` owned by [`0xFEaE2F85…E36F`](https://basescan.org/address/0xFEaE2F855250c36A77b8C68dB07C4dD9711fE36F) (4-of-8, signer set overlapping Yearn Security), same curator Safe, guardian set, 3-day timelock.
- **HyperEVM:** `OUSDh-V2` / `OUSDh-V1` deployed and operated by the Yearn key [`0xFc5F89d2…C12B`](https://hyperevmscan.io/address/0xFc5F89d29CCaa86e5410a7ad9D9d280d4455C12B), which created both vaults and set `feeRecipient()` to the same Yearn curator Safe. This leg is configured more loosely than the other two — the key is an EOA rather than a Safe, `curator()` and `guardian()` are unset, and `timelock()` is 0, so cap and supply-queue changes take effect immediately. Withdrawals cannot be blocked: `setReceiveAssetsGate` and `setAdapterRegistry` are permanently abdicated on `OUSDh-V2`.

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This repeats the incorrect control model. At the stated snapshot, both owner() values are the 4-of-7 Safe 0x518C…70149; both curator() values are 0x90D0…6B51; and OUSDh-V1 has guardian 0x4FF1…971 plus a 259,200-second timelock. Please remove the EOA/unset-role/zero-timelock narrative from this dependency analysis.

| Date | Score | Notes |
|------|-------|-------|
| [June 25, 2026](https://github.com/yearn/risk-score/pull/136) | 1.85 | Initial assessment |
| [August 31, 2026](https://github.com/yearn/risk-score/pull/434) | 2.05 | TVL $6.24M (−16%). Traced the Morpho legs three vault layers deep across Ethereum, Base, and HyperEVM: ~80% of TVL now sits in Morpho Blue markets, and ~54% of TVL is USDC lent against Origin's own OETH / superOETHb in markets whose oracles assume a 1:1 ETH peg with no LST feed. Morpho curation on all three chains is Yearn's own, so it is treated as an internal counterparty rather than an external dependency; the HyperEVM leg is configured more loosely (EOA key, no guardian, `timelock()` = 0) and is called out for monitoring. Corrected the withdrawal-queue reading — `queued` / `claimable` are lifetime counters, so outstanding demand is 14 USDC, not the ~$1.68M implied previously. Vault uses no oracle (`_deprecated_priceProvider`) and rebase is permissioned and rate-capped. Bug bounty reconfirmed live at $1M. Governance, roles, thresholds, proxies, and the mint whitelist unchanged. Dependencies 2.5 → 3.0, Collateralization 2.0 → 2.5, Provability 1.5 → 2.0. |

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This assessment-history entry repeats the disproven “EOA key, no guardian, timelock() = 0” claim. Please amend the record after correcting the HyperEVM ownership, curator, guardian, and timelock state, and recompute the score from the corrected control model.

address: "0xE90959cbE7E56b5eBFF9AD12de611A4976F2d2B1"
chain: hyperevm
category: dependency
note: Symbol OUSDh-V2. Owner and curator are the same Yearn-operated key. The two selectors that could gate withdrawals, setReceiveAssetsGate and setAdapterRegistry, have been permanently abdicated.

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The HyperEVM control nodes are incorrect throughout this block (lines 180, 186, and 192). Both vault owners are the 4-of-7 Safe 0x518C…70149; both curators are 0x90D0…6B51; OUSDh-V1 has guardian 0x4FF1…971 and a 259,200-second timelock. Remove the hyper-eoa node and replace its owner/curator edges with this model.

The score-1 bar of "7+ days" was out of line with how the corpus is
actually scored: fx-fxusd already uses a local ">3 days" variant, and
both sky-stusds (48h) and reserve-ethplus (3-day) dock against a bar
that no longer reflects our view. Rows 2 and 3 also both read "24+
hours", which is not a monotonic ladder.

- Score 1 timelock bar: 7+ days -> 48h+
- Rows 2 and 3 split into 24-48h and 12-24h so the ladder is monotonic
- Note that timelock is measured on the protocol-change path end to end
- Note that operational roles bounded by governance-approved constraints
  are scored under Programmability, not Governance

Also expands the Origin OUSD governance rationale with the evidence for
its 1.0: upgradeTo is onlyGovernor on all six proxies, PROPOSER and
EXECUTOR are held solely by the xOGN Governor (both prior holders
revoked in 2024), and the end-to-end path is exactly 5.00 days. Score
is unchanged at 2.05.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
@ctmotox2

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LGTM

@spalen0
spalen0 marked this pull request as ready for review September 21, 2026 13:35
@spalen0
spalen0 merged commit 951bdf0 into master Sep 21, 2026
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spalen0 deleted the origin-ousd-reassessment branch September 21, 2026 13:57

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Reassessment: origin-ousd

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